Every value site asks you to trust its numbers. Few explain where the numbers come from. This page is the full method behind our value list: what we track, how the headline is calculated, what the flags mean, and, just as important, where our data is weakest. If you are going to trade billions of Beli against these figures, you deserve to know how they are made.
The three sources
There is no official Blox Fruits price list. The developers have never published one. All values are community estimates, and different communities estimate differently. We track three of the most used lists:
- Traderie, a trading marketplace where values emerge from listed offers between real users.
- Gamersberg, a staff-maintained value list updated around game events.
- Cosmic Values, another widely referenced community list.
These sites regularly disagree, sometimes by a lot. That disagreement is not a flaw we hide. It is the most useful information on each item's page.
Why the headline is the median
For every item, we store each source's number and publish the median, the middle value, as the headline. Currently 76 of our 85 items have figures from all three sources.
We use the median instead of the average for one reason: it ignores outliers. A real example from our data: Tiger's permanent is listed at 5B by Gamersberg and 4.8B by Cosmic Values, while Traderie shows 335M, a number wildly out of line with the others. An average of those three would produce a meaningless 3.4B. The median lands at 4.8B, which matches what the agreeing majority says. One broken or stale source cannot drag the headline around.
Values are stated in Beli and rounded to the nearest 1K to strip scraping artifacts (a source listing 4,499,999,700 is publishing 4.5B, and we record it that way).
What the demand score means
Demand is a 0 to 10 rating of how easily an item sells near its listed value. It is not a second price and not a combat rating.
- 8 to 10: sells in minutes to hours. Buddha and Control live here.
- 5 to 7: sells at list if you wait for the right buyer.
- 0 to 4: usually sells below list or after a long wait. Creation at 3/10 is the classic example.
Value tells you what an item is theoretically worth. Demand tells you whether that theory survives contact with a real trade window. When the two disagree, trust demand. Our demand guide covers this in depth.
What the market flags mean
Each item carries one of three flags comparing our headline to the average of its sources:
- Overpaid: the market is currently paying above the source average. Common on hyped limiteds.
- Stable: sources agree. The price is settled.
- Underpaid: trading below the source average. Worth a look if demand is healthy.
The flag describes the present, not the future. Overpaid does not mean "will fall tomorrow." It means you are buying at the expensive end of what the sheets support.
Where our data is honest about being thin
Some numbers deserve less trust than others, and the item pages say so:
- One-source items. Five items are covered by only one of our three lists, including Eclipse Chromatic (30B, Gamersberg only) and 2x Drop Chance (Traderie only). A median of one number is just that number. These pages carry a note saying coverage is thin.
- Wide-spread items. When sources disagree by 25% or more, the item page flags the spread. Super Spirit Pain runs from 890M to 4.4B across sources. The headline (4.07B) is the honest middle, but you should read the full table before trading it.
- Freshness. Every compile stamps a date, shown on the value list. In the most recent compile, 36 of 85 headlines changed, which tells you how much this market moves between updates. If the compile date looks old after a major patch, cross-check before a big trade.
What we deliberately do not do
We do not invent values for items no source covers. We do not adjust numbers based on our own trades or feelings about the meta. We do not accept submissions to bump an item ("Kitsune is 1B now trust me" arrives weekly, and the answer is always: it will show in the sources if it is true). The site's only job is to report what the tracked lists say, cleanly, with the disagreements visible.
How to use all this in one minute
- Open the item on the value list and read the headline.
- Glance at the source table. Tight spread means firm price. Wide spread or one source means estimate.
- Check demand. Above 7 and the headline is realistic. Below 4 and expect to sell under it.
- Put the whole trade in the calculator, which uses these same headlines with a 5% fairness band.
If you spot a number that looks wrong against what you see in-game, tell us through the contact page. Corrections from active traders are how a list like this stays honest.